Cookies on this website

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you click 'Accept all cookies' we'll assume that you are happy to receive all cookies and you won't see this message again. If you click 'Reject all non-essential cookies' only necessary cookies providing core functionality such as security, network management, and accessibility will be enabled. Click 'Find out more' for information on how to change your cookie settings.

Between January – August 2012, the Global Migration Futures project of the International Migration Institute and Regional Mixed Migration Secretariat in Nairobi collaborated to create scenarios to explore potential futures drivers and patterns of migration in the Horn of Africa and Yemen

Through this initiative, IMI and RMMS sought to promote discussions among migration experts and stakeholders about longer-term developments in the region. The final report is now available to read on our website.

This report:

Introduces the core elements of the scenario methodology and the role of experts and stakeholders in the development of scenarios

Reviews past and present migration dynamics and patterns in the region

Discusses trends that are significant in shaping migration and for which researchers are relatively certain – based on available data and knowledge – will continue through 2030 – e.g. population growth

Explores the factors that are highly uncertain in terms of how they will take shape in the future, and that therefore need to be monitored

Presents two scenarios of possible futures in the region, their potential consequences for migration, as well as offers a number of insights and important questions for future migration research and policymaking.

The project was sponsored by the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office via the Danish Refugee Council as well as the Oxford Martin School at the University of Oxford. Support for the scenario-building workshop was provided by the International Organization for Migration.

Read the full report

Similar stories

Working Paper: Immigration policy effects – A conceptual framework

Liv Bjerre provides a conceptual framework for the analysis of immigration policy effects by arguing that immigration policies have varying effects on different categories of immigrants whether they are regular immigrants, asylum seekers or irregular immigrants

Return Migration in Africa

IMI Researcher, Dr. Marie-Laurence Flahaux together with Dr. Bruno Shoumaker and Dr. Thierry Eggerickx edit a new issue of 'Space, Populations, Societies' which seeks to explore the understudied aspects of return migration in Africa

Working Paper: Hopes and fears of migrants’ contribution to political change, a Tunisian case study

Marieke van Houte explores complexities of political change in relation to mobility and immobility through a fascinating Tunisian case study that challenges conventional notions that transnational political engagements contribute to democratization

Exploring domestic & diasporic non-government responses to the Liberian Ebola Crisis

New article published in the academic journal, African Affairs by IMI Senior Research Officer Robtel Neajai Pailey

Legal invisibility was the best thing to happen to me

Senior Research Officer Robtel Neajai Pailey shares her experience of living as an undocumented migrant in the US for 14 years in a remarkable piece for Al Jazeera

Call for papers for new journal Migration and Society

The first issue of the journal focuses on Hospitality and hostility towards migrants: Global perspectives