Cookies on this website

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you click 'Accept all cookies' we'll assume that you are happy to receive all cookies and you won't see this message again. If you click 'Reject all non-essential cookies' only necessary cookies providing core functionality such as security, network management, and accessibility will be enabled. Click 'Find out more' for information on how to change your cookie settings.

The Global Migration Futures project has published a 2-page briefing on which factors are most uncertain when thinking about North Africa in 2035, and which of these factors are likely to have the greatest impact on migration

IMI's Global Migration Futures project employs an innovative scenario-based methodology normally found in business contexts.

Asking questions about uncertainties is a fundamental step in using the scenario methodology to study future migration in North Africa. Because conventional futures studies tend to focus on relative ‘certainties’, they can
ignore key migration drivers which are more difficult to predict.

The purpose of the scenarios methodology is to expand our imagination about future developments by creating scenarios around key uncertainties. It helps us to identify which factors we should pay most attention to when exploring future migration patterns and trends and appropriate policy responses.

Download IMI Policy Briefing 7: Exploring the Future of Migration: What we learn from uncertainty